I'll direct you to that website since that's where the discussion is. I also wanted to share a comment left on that page by Jeff Alworth of Beervana:
If craft brewing was in trouble, we’d expect to see established breweries with a record of success closing. Of course, that’s not happening. In fact, for every poorly-conceived brewery that fails, another one manages to hang on in spite of their faults. That’s how strong the market is....- - -
...Consolidation will inevitably happen as the market plateaus or contracts. But as long as it’s growing, big breweries and little breweries can live in happy coexistence. You happened to select a brewery in my home state as your example, Stan, and I can confirm your view. Deschutes sells more beer in Oregon than any other brewery and the Northwest remains its main market. Yet Washington and Oregon are seeing unprecedented new brewery openings. A bunch of formerly-small breweries founding in the past decade (Block 15, Oakshire, 10 Barrel, Ninkasi, Fort George) are growing like weeds. Room enough for everyone here. Now, at least.
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Business closings are just a normal part of life. I'm sure we'll have a couple casualties here in Colorado sooner or later. We've had them in the past. But as you say, there are SOOOO many new Colorado breweries in the pipeline here that we shouldn't be worried. Now if we can only get past December 21, 2012 then I think we'll be fine for a while.
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